LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come into this Saturdays match with announcement successes.
LSU went to Texas and defeat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. But during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take a spot in the race over into College Football Playoff.
The defense of florida leads the way for them. They have given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and also have not given up a point in the 4th quarter since their opener. Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered since he went 11 with three INTs, into creating bad decisions that were several a week.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback and has led LSU. They have averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in school soccer. This includes the 45 they dropped on Texas on the road.
As 13-point underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in Together with the roar of all Death Valley awaiting. Does the No. 5 defense keep this near and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing offense as well as Burrow keep rolling up and win the bet? Heres the full breakdown.
There is hardly any uncertainty in the ability of Burrow . Hes transformed into a Heisman candidate, obtaining an immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with one of the very best receiving teams in the nation. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, along with Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns and 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for these three.
Jefferson has great length using his 63 frame, and it has mastered in some huge games. Chase is a physical presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit out until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target who will fill the spot. Its all part of a passing game thats Burrow at a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face undoubtedly the DB unit theyve played . Northwestern State is a FCS group, but here are the yards-per-attempt given up by the additional competitions of LSU: Vanderbilt 128th, Texas 124th, Georgia Southern 111th, along with Utah State 103rd.
Although its safe to say theyve yet to perform a QB of the standard of Burrow florida now sits in 33rd. Theyve played FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Nevertheless, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American whos living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a huge amount of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is somewhat on irregular so far in the other corner spot, but nevertheless has a ceiling as a cover man.
Burrow will even confront a, which will be healthy for the first time since their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, considered to be their best is coming back from injury. With him on one side and Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) on the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line will be analyzed.
Since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing defensive lineup while his consciousness need to enhance in the pocket. Auburns according ranks 11th in line yards, and is arguably the very best in the country to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st in LY and is 85th in bag speed. Theyll rely on blitzing LBs to help throw Trask. The Florida QB is convinced in the pocket but is not out of it. He sprained a knee in the game and wore a leg brace when he reentered the game.
Together with all the LBs involved from the pass-rush, All-American security Grant Delpit should produce big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240lbs, 4.6 40-yard dash) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–such as Floridas secondary–is often regarded as DBU for the talent they have on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this heritage with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman group, or even more, in 2019.
Would soon be out of returning FBS corners Kristian Fulton, that enabled the least amount of first downs. It will be given an opportunity against a driven Trask though this group is currently in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance is going to be crucial as ever for Florida, that hasnt got their running game this year, going. A tackle broke at the line on his approach . In spite of that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th in line yards and also will be going up from the No. 1 d-line concerning energy achievement (short-yardage situations).
Even though the LSU front might not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA around the ground, and that is including Perines long term and also a 76-yard receiver sweep which closed from the Kentucky match.
It places ways too much pressure on Trask at a hostile environment, if they dont buy Perine or Dameon Pierce going consistently.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world following a week. And while I do not expect them to come out from Death Valley, I really do see this game staying than many.
LSUs offense made unbelievable strides, and Burrow is just one of the more intelligent QBs in the FBS. However, LSU isnt likely to install 45 or anything near this against a defense who is proven at all three levels. Their pass-rush has fully developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the group has relied upon them much too much to modify the wave in games the Gators defense will work out over time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic into some PIs from the physiological Chase or Jefferson.
However, I dont anticipate this until late in the fourth quarter. Maintaining the game in a lot of a slog until afterward makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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